I have tickets to the Ohio State-Iowa game November 14 but can't go due to a class.
I was going with an Iowa fan and planned on cheering on the Hawkeyes, all the more now since Ohio State has less to play for than ever.
If Iowa wins out, they deserve to face the SEC champion in the National Championship game. I'm not predicting they'll win out, and if they stumble they deserve nothing. But if Iowa does go undefeated it will be an injustice when they're in the Rose Bowl rather than college football's National Championship Farce.
The SEC isn't college football's version of the NHL central division or anything, but it's clearly head and shoulders above the other conferences. Its winner, if it has one or fewer losses, should be penciled in right now as the #1 ranked team going into the college postseason.
Pushing Cincinnati and Boise State aside due to their conferences' inferiority, who would be the most deserving undefeated #2, Iowa or Texas?
Texas plays their entire division (OK, OK State, Baylor, A&M, and Tech) along with Colorado, Missouri and Kansas in the north. They'll add another Big 12 victory over Kansas, Kansas State or Nebraska in the Big 12 championship game. The rest of their schedule is filled out with non-BCS conference cupcakes, all of which they've already waxed.
Iowa, meanwhile, plays the hardest possible Big 10 schedule (i.e., they do not play Illinois or Purdue). That includes Ohio State, Penn State, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Northwestern, Michigan, Michigan State and Indiana. They too play non-BCS conference cupcakes, but only two. Their other two games were against the Big 12's Iowa State and the PAC-10's Arizona.
Are Iowa State or Arizona good? No. But neither is the worst team in their conference, either. And at least Iowa schedules real teams to play. Arizona actually borders on respectability.
If nothing else, Iowa deserves the championship bid just because they assembled a legitimate schedule.
There is no reason to think the Big 12 is any better than the Big 10 this season. The main argument would be that Texas lifts the conference, but if the point is to compare Texas to Iowa, they don't count. Yes, Illinois, Indiana and Purdue all belong in the MAC right now, but hey, Iowa only played one of them. Meanwhile, Texas feasts on Baylor, A&M and Kansas State.
Iowa's Big 10 oppoents have beaten Notre Dame, Arizona, Navy, Syracuse, and Iowa State this year. That's roughly equivalent to Texas' Big 12 opponents, who have beaten Georgia, Ole Miss, Illinois, Wake Forest and Duke. That's the same number of out-of-conference BCS conference (or relevant independent) wins, and if you played those teams against each other 1 through 5 high school tennis style, the teams the Big 10 beat would likely go 4-1.
The other argument for the Big 12 is that they did better in bowl games last year than the Big 10. Obviously true, but Iowa can't be blamed for that because they crushed South Carolina last year in the Outback Bowl.
If you want a "legit" argument for Texas, it's that they've earned the right to be there because they should have been declared co-national champions last year. But that's the problem with FBS. I could tell you that God told me to vote Iowa State number one and no one could tell me that's not right.
Until the beauty pageant ends and an objective system takes over, stick with FCS like John, or use this simple formula: Team with best record is better, but in case of tie, go with team who played actual BCS conference schools. By this measure, Iowa wins by two.
Iowa surprisingly more deserving of title game than Texas Tuesday, October 20, 2009
Posted by J Arthur Ellis at 12:52 PM 1 comments
Labels: bcs, big 10, big 12, iowa, national championship game, rankings, texas
Pats cut Galloway, trade in works? And Predictions review
Joey Galloway has been cut by the Patriots.
Three others have been cut as well, and people are wondering whether the Patriots are setting up a trade, with ProFootballTalk throwing Shawne Merriman's name out there. (If Rodney Harrison were still with the team, perhaps their HGH dealer could've been used to help bring Shawne into the fold).
I would like to point everyone to my regular season predictions, not because I made any good predictions but because I lamented about how everyone loves every Patriot personnel move, even the dumb ones.
Fred Taylor is injured (which shouldn't be a surprise) and Joey Galloway is unemployed. Richard Seymour just played a key role in beating the Eagles.
I know it seems silly to criticize the Patriots since they just won a game 69-0, but as Joe Torre would say, that only counts as one win. The Patriots are far from the Colts and Saints of the NFL world right now.
By the way, those playoff predictions weren't bad. I missed out on the Giants and Broncos. But who didn't miss out on the Broncos? And the Giants sill have plenty of time for a late-season collapse, while the Eagles always play better later in the year. I predicted 3rd-place finishes for both the Jets and Ravens, and while that looked dumb at first, the tables have now turned.
Clearly my Panthers playoff pick was a mistake, but look at what I saw that few did: The Bengals in the playoff race, the Saints as the best team in the NFC, the 49ers with a division lead, and the Titans being bad. And I still think the Texans and Eagles can come through for me.
Obviously the Aaron Smith injury hurts the Steelers chances. If had to re-pick now it'd be hard to pick against Peyton.
Posted by J Arthur Ellis at 10:00 AM 1 comments
Labels: joey galloway, patriots, predictions, steelers, trades
Home Coming Weekend Monday, October 19, 2009
Homecoming was phenomenal. Unfortunately, as this is a football blog, I cannot go into too much detail about Friday Nights Hockey game. However, I cannot resist thanking Boston University defense man Eric Gryba who scored the final goal of the night, snapping a 2-2 tie. In spite of Gryba scoring the deciding goal in a 3-2 game, everyone else is giving UMass forward Will Ortiz credit. Some stupid rule about pucks you knock into your own net not counting for your stats. Don't worry Eric, I know you scored the game winning goal and I will do my best to make sure everyone else does.
Posted by John McColgan at 8:30 AM 0 comments
Labels: Home Coming, UMass, UNH
Aaron Smith out for months, but Hood won't benefit much Tuesday, October 13, 2009
Steelers DE Aaron Smith could be out for months.
Now THIS is a blow. The Steelers have gotten by at 2-2 without Troy Polamalu, who returns this week to face the Browns. But history shows that losing Aaron Smith is a much worse prospect. In 2007, Tomlin's first year, Smith was lost for the season and the defense crumbled. He is one of the most underrated players in the NFL.
Normally, my prognosis would be 3-4 wins off the regular season total, putting us at 7, 8 or 9 wins on the season and a first round exit in the playoffs at best.
However, there is a wildcard: 2009 first round pick Ziggy Hood. The guys seems smart and is universally regarded as a good pick, yet he's hardly seen the field in 2009. With the injury, will he now be a starter? Unfortunately, no. Tomlin says the situation will be defensive end by committee.
I'm preparing to cover my eyes in horror. Hopefully Hood impresses this week in practice and gets the bulk of the playing time. He might not be "ready" in the eyes of the coaching staff, but he's the only backup with the talent to make something happen at that position.
Posted by J Arthur Ellis at 12:27 PM 0 comments
Labels: aaron smith, injuries, joepinion, steelers, tomlin, ziggy hood
Massachusetts@Delaware Post Game Saturday, October 10, 2009
The genius I am, I picked the right score. That's right. The Minutemen scored 27 points, just as I predicted. Unfortunately, Delaware didn't get the memo and scored 43 instead of 24. Jerks.
Posted by John McColgan at 5:56 PM 0 comments
Massachusetts @ Delaware Friday, October 9, 2009
Tomorrow, 6PM, at Tubby Field @ Delaware Stadium the maroon hot Massachusetts Minutemen will take the field against the Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens.
Posted by John McColgan at 10:15 AM 0 comments
Roughing the Passer Tuesday, October 6, 2009
Ray Lewis is complaining about roughing the passer calls on Tom Brady which happened last Sunday. I dislike the Ravens, especially Ray Lewis, but I have to agree with him. I only saw one of the two plays (I went to see the Providence Bruins open up against the Springfield Falcons so I missed everything after the Raven got hurt) and when the flag was thrown, I objected. A Raven accidenctally brushed Brady's helmet, Brady fell down, a flag was thrown. It was a terrible call.
There's an article in yesterday's Boston Herald about it. Lewis is quoting as saying "People work too hard for that. And the embarrassing part about it is you see it constantly every week- emphasis on protecting the quarterback... It's embarrassing fo us to even keep a game going like that, give them momentum after they go three-and-out. We stop them, see a flag for a personal foul and Brady's laughing? That ain't no personal foul if you're still smiling...Did it lose the game? Absolutely not, but it's just embarrassing to go in there and play a game the way we did and you get that."
I agree with Ray Lewis about something having to do with football, and that makes me want to throw up.
I understand that it gets called both ways and will even out over the course of the season. In week 1, I complained about 2 terrible roughing the passer calls against New England. One could argue it's even now, but I still don't like it. The Herald had this quote from Brady, "(Quarterbacks are) holding the ball, we're unprotected. We're sitting back there defenseless. They deserved to get those calls..."
This is complete crap. The QB has at least 5 linemen to block for him. Many times there are tight ends and backs which stay in pass protection too. In those cases, more than half the offense is devoted to protecting the QB.
(In case you are wondering, disagreeing with Brady about football is fine in my mind. If I were disagreeing with Bledsoe, then I'd want to throw up.)
Ray Lewis had another quote in the Herald, which I think was probably either a joke or else said in frustration and wasn't meant to be taken literally "That's not football and that's the embarrassing part about it... You can't stop drives like that, you can't throw flags and say 'Oh, you touched the quarterback.' Put flags on them, put a red buzzer on them, so if we touch them, they're down."
Like I said, I don't think he literally meant the part about flags and buzzers, but it's where we are heading. I'm told the Patriots got screwed in 1976 against the Raiders in the playoffs on a bogus Roughing the Passer call against Sugar Bear Hamilton. I only know about this because it was the standard comeback to any Raider fan who complained about the tuck rule.
I've seen this "terrible" roughing the passer call, and by today's standards, it was blatent. Hamilton probably would be fined on top of the penalty. Do Google searches about it, and it's on a few "Worst call ever" lists. If you get to the ref's wikipedia page, you'll see this was the most contreversial call he ever made. It was so bad, apparently the NFL wouldn't let him ref Patriot games anymore.
In light of this, I wonder where we'll be in 33 years. Will these hits on Brady look terrible to my children? If I show them a tape, will they be up screaming about what a dirty team the Ravens must have been?
Posted by John McColgan at 2:18 PM 2 comments
Labels: Roughing the Passer
Back from the Dead Monday, October 5, 2009
Sorry about not posting last week. There's nothing more devastating than losing to a team from Ohio. I didn't even think about football last week because it was too painful. (Luckily that only happens about once every three years.)
The Steelers were up 28-0 in the third quarter. I was getting ready to write about Mike Tomlin, and the enormous gap between he and guys like Norv Turner and Wade Philips. When the Steelers are about to fall apart and they lose to the Bengals, Tomlin gets angry, his players take on his attitude, and they come out and take care of business. When Mendenhall is blowing his assignments in practice, Tomlin benches him, he responds, starts the next week and runs for 166 yards and two touchdowns.
When times get tough, what do Norv Turner and Wade Philips do? Do they really have credibility with the players to fire them up? Or do they just sit in meetings looking a little bit groggier?
Tomlin's best asset as a coach is not his youth or skin color. It's that he does two things few coaches can do in tandem: he connects with the players personally but it couldn't be more clear who's in charge. Once someone asked Tomlin in a press conference how he thinks his players would evaluate his work so far. He said, "It's their job to perform. It's MY job to evaluate." Can you imagine Wade Philips saying such a thing? The press would laugh at him. (And yes, that's partly Jerry Jones' fault.)
The Chargers made it interesting, nonetheless. Phillip Rivers is a great quarterback. With a couple minutes to go it was suddenly 35-28. Why have the Steelers consistently outplayed the competition this year but had to endure comebacks and two losses? Here's my explanations, in order of their impact on the team this season:
--Opponents. The Steelers have played four good teams in the Titans, Bears, Bengals and Chargers. I picked all but the Titans to make the playoffs and that looks like a solid prediction right now. The Titans will be something like 7-9. Worst of all, though, we've faced three good quarterbacks in a row: Cutler was impossible to sack and made no bad decisions in Week 2, and both Palmer and Rivers exploded for points at the end of the game. Both will put up a lot of good numbers this year. Looking forward to Stafford and Anderson the next couple weeks.
--Polamalu's injury. We need him back. This really accounts for both the late defensive struggles and the lack of big plays (sacks and interceptions). Our defense has played disciplined but we need Polamalu to cause havoc.
--Back luck. Santonio's mistake led to a pick-six last week. Stefan Logan not getting a whistle for stopped forward progress on the punt return when five Chargers were literally holding the 5'6" returner up so that they could strip the ball. A couple bad spots on the turf in Chicago. The Steelers have just had bad luck. This is no big deal; they'll have a mix of bad luck and good luck in the future.
--Playcalling. Arians called a great game on offense tonight but he was a big reason we lost the previous two weeks.
As Collinsworth kept mentioning, Chris Kemoeatu was a beast last night. I'm now optimistic about Mendenhall, as he did break a lot of tackles (haven't seen Wille do that in about a year), but the credit really goes to the O-Line. Unfortunately, not all run defenses are as pathetic as San Diego's.
By the way, San Diego missing the playoffs would be very satisfying. However, I still don't think Denver can survive their schedule. We'll find out soon as the teams play in two weeks.
Big Ben played great. I agree with Collinsworth: He's now a solid #4 behind Manning, Brees and Brady. I'll put Rivers at #5. Maybe later this week I'll post full quaterback ratings.
Posted by J Arthur Ellis at 5:51 AM 0 comments
Part 2: UMass tailgater "...our team sucks." Wednesday, September 30, 2009
As I said in the closing line of my last post on this topic, I will present a theory which was originated by another poster on umasshoops.com. The poster's screen name is ShadesOf96and98 and here's an edited version of what he wrote:
Posted by John McColgan at 8:03 AM 0 comments
Post Game: Atlanta vs New England Sunday, September 27, 2009
The Patriots defeated the Falcons today, 26-10. For the first time this year, I think Brady was off. He overthrew a ton of passes. I guess he also exploded on the sidelines and started screaming at everyone, all the receivers and Belichick. As it was Tom Brady who did it, I like it. It shows he cares and wants to execute every play, and won't settle for less than his best. If Peyton Manning ever did it, of course I'd be ripping him. That's just how I role. And let me point out, I'd be right to rip Manning if he exploded like Brady did today, just like I'm right to like Brady for doing it.
The defense continues to play well in my opinion, and continues to get ripped. Everyone was complaining about them in the stands and on the call in shows on the ride home. They've only allowed and average of 14 points a game! What does this region expect?
I never save ticket stubs to anything, except Patriots games. My uncle is a season ticket holder and he takes me to a game a year. The seasons tickets look like football card, so ever since I was little, I've kept each game. I have Bruce Armstrong (flipping through, I have a LOT of Bruce Armstrong...like 4 games). A Dolphin game I went to once has Willie McGinnest hitting Dan Marino. Drew Bledsoe and Steve Grogan share the photo of the game Bledsoe got hurt at and Brady came in relief. There's all sorts of Patriots greats, current and former. As the seasons tickets are printed before the year starts, sometimes the person on them is comical. I have Matt Bahr for an exhibition game ticket, and he was cut the day before the game for Adam Vinatieri. I also have Lawyer Milloy and Bill Belichick talking together on the sidelines for a game against the Giants in which Milloy was in Buffalo.
My favorite ticket stub is from October 10, 2004 against the Miami Dolphins. It has Eugine Wilson and Tyrone Poole breaking up a pass against some Brown whose number I can't make out. Gillette Stadium's red wall is in the background, and in real life it has nothing on it. On the ticket, cleverly spaced, they put the following in small letters:
SEC 19 (then a ref's head) IN A (then the Brown's player defended by Wilson and Poole) ROW
The significance of course is this is the ticket stub for their 19th win in a row, breaking the Dolphins record. I tried scanning it to put it up on the blog, but the format wasn't right. This was week 5, and the tickets are printed out and sent before the exhibition season starts. I like how they called their shot before the season. They predicted they'd win 19 in a row.
There is a reason I'm going off in a tangent about my ticket stubs. Because I have them all, I know the all time record the Patriots have in games I've been to. They beat the original Browns in the home opener in 1995 in my first game, then the Eagles in preseason of 1996, then the Cardinals in the home opener of 1996 and then the Chargers in the home opener in 1997. I was sitting pretty at 4-0. 3-0 if you don't count preseason.
That brings us to 1998. I had my pick of which game I wanted to go to that year. I could go to the Cheifs or the Falcons. I picked the Falcons cause I thought the Cheifs would be good and I had fun rubbing it in everyone's face that the Patriots were undefeated in games I went to. Not only that, I think I was the only one with a winning record. At the time, I was the youngest going to games. As a result, everyone else had seen some terrible Patriots teams play.
My cousin Danny, who never saw the Patriots win before, went to the Cheifs game that year. New England killed them, 40-10. The Falcons game was almost the exact opposite. Atlanta won on a freezing cold day in November, 41-10. It was so bad, the person sitting next to my uncle told me I must be bad luck and I wasn't allowed to come back.
11 years later, that loss is avenged. Take that Atlanta!
Overall, I've been pretty lucky. The Patriots are 10-6 in the regular season, 1-0 in the post season and 4-1 in preseason games I've been too.
Posted by John McColgan at 5:35 PM 0 comments
Post Game: Stony Brook vs Massachusetts Saturday, September 26, 2009
UMass came out and dominated the first drive, as expected by yours truly. The first play from scrimmage was a 40 yard bomb from Havens to Jeremy Horne. Fullback Chris Zardas ran for a score three plays later to give the Minutemen an early 7-0 lead. For whatever reason, Stony Brook didn't lay down and die. They put together a nice seven play drive to tie the score at 7. After a Havens interception, Stony Brook kicked a field goal to take a 10-7 lead. After this, it was pretty much all UMass. They scored the next two touchdowns to make it 21-10. Stony Brook scored a touchdown two minutes before half time and their idiot receiver who caught the ball got into the face of the UMass defensive back and started screaming at him. The ref threw a flagged him and it gave UMass great field position, and they were able to get a field goal before the half to make it 24-17. The second half was all UMass, and the final was 44-17, so my prediction was off by 10 points. Not too shabby.
All the while, starting running back Tony Nelson didn't make an appearance. He was dressed and I watched him walking around and talking to people, but he never went in. His replacement, John Hernandez made the most of his opportunity, rushing for 3 touchdowns, including a 36 yarder, and 140 yards. I wasn't sure if he was hurt or suspended. My cousin who went with me suggested that maybe Hernandez had a better week of practice and was named starter. He was walking around ok and didn't seem hurt, and he was dressed so he didn't seem suspended. When I came home, I checked it and it turns out he had a shoulder injury. I wouldn't sleep all that well if I were Nelson tonight. He may have just lost his job.
The Stony Brook coach didn't impress me. First, when down 21-10, Stony Brook faced 4th-8 on the UMass 28. The wind was against them, so rather then attempt a 45 yard field goal, he sent the punt team on. Wait... 4th-8 from the opponents 28, and you're punting?!?!? What are you hoping to gain? 20 yards of field position? Is gaining that worth giving up an opportunity to score? Of course, the punter kicked it right into the endzone and Stony Brook gained a grand total of 8 yards of field position.
Then, when UMass was about to kick the field goal right before half, there were 40 seconds left and the clock was running. Of course UMass let time nearly expire before kicking it. Stony Brook had a time out and for some reason chose not to use it. 40 seconds is plenty of time to return the kick and run a few plays. He was just content to go to the lockerroom down by 7. If I were a Stony Brook fan, the coaching would have infuriated me today. Thankfully I'm not a Stony Brook fan.
Unfortunately, Kyle didn't have a great game this week, going 12-24 with 2 interceptions and no touchdowns. Unfortunately, there were a few bombs brought back as a result of penalties and there was a 60 yard beauty that would have been a touchdown if not for a fabulous defensive play by Stony Brook. As a result, he wasn't one of the three players selected for the postgame press conference. Therefore, I do not have anything for the new segment, Kyle's Confident Quote of the Week. If it's any consilation, the gate to get into my seats is near the UMass Lockerroom and while waiting to get in I saw Kyle standing outside alone, looking quite confident. Havens is quickly moving up my list of favorite UMass Athletes.
Posted by John McColgan at 9:26 PM 0 comments
Game Day: Stony Brook @ Massachusetts
I started writing my second post about the quote, but I'll postpone it for a while as I'm going to Amherst today for the game, Stony Brook @ 15 UMass and Foxboro tomorrow to see Matty Heisman (HA!) vs the New England Patriots.
I don't know much about Stony Brook, other than the fact there one of the SUNYs. They just moved to the Big South Conference a few years ago from the Northeast Conference. Without even knowing the teams in either conference, I'd guess Stony Brook just added a lot to their travel expenses. So why? At first I guessed it would have to do with playoff eligibility. Though neither conference currently has an autobid, the Big South will next year. However, looking it up on Wikipedia, it appears both conferences will have one next year. That's why you shouldn't speculate kids.
Reading their press release from when the move was announced, it appears both the school and the conference thought it was the right move as both were up and coming and heading for success. Stony Brook also claims playing down south more will help with recruiting, which I suppose is true.
At any rate, NEC, Big South, SUNY Stony Brook or SUNY Albany. It's all the same, and the same is inferior to the Minutemen. UMass wins this one big. I'm going with 44-7, which was the final score of the Albany game.
Around The CAA
Here are other CAA games this weekend and my predictions:
Rhode Island @ UConn- I'm pulling for the Rams, but the Cons will destroy URI. It has nothing to do with how good UConn is. URI is that bad, I'd always pick who they were playing against to win.
Dartmouth @ UNH- UNH will win and make the Ivies realize the superiority of the CAA.
I'm actually rooting for Dartmouth though, as I dislike UNH and I have a friend who went to Dartmouth.
VMI @ Richmond- The Champs will beat Virginia Military Institution (I had to look it up), making the CAA 2-0 against the Big South this weekend.
Northeastern @ Villanova- Villanova wins this conference game. See Rhode Island-UConn commentary...except I'm not rooting for the Huskies.
Hofstra @ Western Michigan- Come on Hofstra! We need this to stay .500 against FBS after URI gets destroyed.
William & Mary @ Delaware*- Another conference match up. This is the game most likely to be an upset (Delaware winning). If it were any other team coming off a year like Delaware just had, I'd pick W&M without thinking twice. Or, if William and Mary were home, I'd go with them, but Tubby Raymond is a tough place to play... screw it. I'm going with William & Mary just to piss off Delaware fans.
*Edit- This game is actually at William and Mary. For some reason, the CAA webpage lists the home team first. How foolish is that? I'm still going with William & Mary, and still keeping the analysis I gave above, again just to piss off Delaware fans.
Posted by John McColgan at 10:08 AM 0 comments
Labels: Big South, CAA, NEC, Stony Brook, UMass